Washington
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Great Osobor | 78.2% | +1.4range -0.1 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.7 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tyler Harris | 74.3% | -0.9range -2.0 to +0.1Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +1.8 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Zoom Diallo | 63.2% | +1.2range -0.3 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.1 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mekhi Mason | 59.3% | -0.2range -1.4 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +2.0range +1.7 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tyree Ihenacho | 51.3% | -1.1range -2.8 to +0.1Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.1 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| DJ Davis | 50.3% | -1.7range -3.2 to -0.2Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.0 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Wilhelm Breidenbach | 40.7% | -0.0range -1.7 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Luis Kortright | 25.5% | +0.2range -0.8 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Franck Kepnang | 22.8% | +1.2range +0.2 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jase Butler | 14.5% | +1.3range +0.1 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Christian King | 14.0% | +2.1range +1.5 to +2.7Limited evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| KC Ibekwe | 5.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dylan Mansour | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
30 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
No exclusions were recorded.
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $13,456,854 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $11,725,277 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 28 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.3 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology