Wake Forest
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Sallis | 90.3% | +2.4range +1.2 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | +5.0range +4.4 to +5.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tre'Von Spillers | 86.2% | +2.7range +1.8 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | +4.9range +4.4 to +5.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cameron Hildreth | 81.0% | +0.1range -1.2 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.8 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Efton Reid | 72.4% | +2.9range +1.7 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | +4.2range +3.7 to +4.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ty-Laur Johnson | 52.4% | -0.5range -2.1 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +2.0range +1.6 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Juke Harris | 46.0% | +0.5range -0.8 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.7 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Parker Friedrichsen | 34.9% | -1.6range -2.6 to -0.4Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Davin Cosby Jr. | 20.3% | +1.0range +0.3 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.9 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Omaha Biliew | 8.8% | -0.8range -1.6 to -0.1Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Churchill Abass | 7.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Owen Kmety | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kevin Dunn | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| RJ Kennah | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
28 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (88%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 4 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $13,055,099 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $13,055,099 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 29 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology