W Michigan
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markhi Strickland | 75.1% | -0.6range -1.7 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.4 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| JaVaughn Hannah | 67.0% | -1.9range -2.9 to -0.4Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.7 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chansey Willis Jr. | 65.5% | +0.7range -0.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.7 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Donovan Williams | 61.1% | -0.4range -1.5 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +2.1 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Max Burton | 54.6% | -0.5range -1.6 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.7 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Owen Lobsinger | 53.2% | -1.6range -2.6 to -0.5Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.4 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brandon Muntu | 46.7% | -0.4range -1.9 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.5 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| EJ Ryans | 28.8% | -2.8range -4.2 to -1.6Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.5 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Seryee Lewis | 13.4% | -1.9range -2.7 to -1.1Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Marquese Josephs | 13.3% | +0.5range -0.4 to +1.6Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Michael Sulaka | 12.5% | +1.8range +1.1 to +2.5Limited evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Josh Thomas | 5.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jack Stefanski | 2.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Hutch Ward | 1.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
25 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (81%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 6 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,375,653 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,375,653 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 2 |
| 3 or more days | 28 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology