VMI
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rickey Bradley | 87.9% | -1.0range -1.9 to -0.1Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.3 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| TJ Johnson | 84.1% | -0.2range -1.1 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.7 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Augustinas Kiudulas | 73.7% | -0.4range -1.1 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.3 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tan Yildizoglu | 71.5% | -1.5range -2.6 to -0.4Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.7 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| AJ Clark | 53.4% | +1.6range +0.7 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +2.2 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Linus Holmstrom | 49.8% | -2.8range -4.3 to -1.3Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +0.8 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kaden Stuckey | 30.3% | -2.1range -4.0 to -0.5Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.6 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaylen Pazon | 14.1% | +0.7range +0.1 to +1.5Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.6 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cal Liston | 14.1% | -1.4range -2.4 to -0.4Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Robert Peters | 9.8% | -1.8range -2.8 to -1.0Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.2 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Walker Andrews | 7.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Maurice Wright, Jr. | 2.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cyprian Hyde | 1.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
25 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (83%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 5 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,241,416 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,241,416 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 2 days | 2 |
| 3 or more days | 24 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 2 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology