Virginia Tech
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Schutt | 67.1% | -2.4range -3.4 to -1.4Sufficient evidence | +2.0range +1.5 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tyler Johnson | 61.2% | -0.0range -0.9 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.3 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tobi Lawal | 59.5% | -0.7range -2.2 to +0.5Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +1.8 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaydon Young | 54.2% | -1.1range -2.3 to +0.0Sufficient evidence | +2.0range +1.6 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ben Burnham | 54.1% | +0.6range -0.6 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.2 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brandon Rechsteiner | 53.3% | -1.7range -2.5 to -0.8Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.5 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mylyjael Poteat | 52.1% | -0.1range -1.4 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.9 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ben Hammond | 46.0% | -0.4range -1.3 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.6 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Patrick Wessler | 26.3% | +1.9range +1.0 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.3 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Rodney Brown Jr. | 21.6% | -0.1range -1.1 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Connor Serven | 3.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ryan Jones Jr. | 0.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Peter Carr | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Conner Venable | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
25 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (78%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 7 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $8,485,407 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $9,504,271 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched through an NCES IPEDS institution alias, with state and home-venue city agreeing.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 30 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology