Virginia
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac McKneely | 87.0% | +1.0range +0.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +4.2range +3.7 to +4.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Andrew Rohde | 75.1% | +0.1range -0.9 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.7 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dai Dai Ames | 65.9% | +1.3range +0.1 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.8 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Elijah Saunders | 62.6% | +0.6range -0.6 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.4 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Blake Buchanan | 54.5% | +0.1range -0.9 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +2.0 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jacob Cofie | 51.5% | +1.0range -0.0 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +2.2 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Taine Murray | 42.8% | -0.9range -1.9 to -0.1Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ishan Sharma | 26.2% | +1.2range -0.1 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.1 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Anthony Robinson | 18.0% | +1.3range +0.2 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| TJ Power | 15.4% | -1.0range -2.1 to +0.1Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Desmond Roberts | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bryce Walker | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Eli Bennett | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
27 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (84%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 5 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $17,841,957 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $16,646,407 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 2 |
| 3 or more days | 28 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology