Algosys College Basketball

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Villanova

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Villanova, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Jordan Longino87.2%-0.4range -1.5 to +0.6Sufficient evidence+3.8range +3.1 to +4.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Eric Dixon84.1%+2.5range +1.7 to +3.3Sufficient evidence+5.3range +4.6 to +6.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Wooga Poplar80.5%+1.4range +0.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidence+4.5range +3.8 to +5.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jhamir Brickus74.3%+0.7range -0.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence+3.8range +3.2 to +4.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Tyler Perkins64.1%+3.6range +2.2 to +4.9Sufficient evidence+4.5range +3.9 to +5.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Enoch Boakye57.1%+2.8range +1.5 to +4.3Sufficient evidence+3.7range +3.1 to +4.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Josiah Moseley21.1%-0.1range -1.3 to +1.2Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kris Parker16.2%-0.9range -1.9 to +0.1Limited evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jordann Dumont9.3%+1.8range +1.0 to +2.9Limited evidence+0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Nnanna Njoku5.9%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Collin O'Toole0.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

27 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (82%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 6 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue$16,554,290Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$15,910,105Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day1
2 days2
3 or more days29

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.3
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent2
Longest run of consecutive away games2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology