Vermont
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ileri Ayo-Faleye | 76.0% | +1.6range +0.7 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +4.4range +3.9 to +5.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| TJ Hurley | 75.9% | +1.3range +0.4 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +4.3range +3.7 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nick Fiorillo | 71.4% | +0.6range -0.6 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +3.7range +3.1 to +4.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Shamir Bogues | 65.0% | +1.5range +0.2 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | +3.8range +3.3 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sam Alamutu | 59.4% | +0.1range -0.9 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.5 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jace Roquemore | 43.9% | -1.3range -2.3 to +0.0Sufficient evidence | +1.7range +1.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sean Blake | 37.7% | -1.2range -2.3 to +0.0Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Noah Barnett | 25.9% | +0.6range -0.7 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| TJ Long | 19.3% | -2.0range -3.3 to -0.3Sufficient evidence | +0.7range +0.5 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Seth Joba | 17.0% | -3.5range -4.5 to -2.2Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Shy Odom | 5.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Gavin Perryman | 3.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
26 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (84%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 5 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,943,643 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,943,757 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 7 |
| 3 or more days | 22 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 2 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology