Vanderbilt
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nickel | 63.3% | +3.6range +2.1 to +5.1Sufficient evidence | +4.1range +3.6 to +4.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jason Edwards | 63.2% | +3.3range +2.1 to +4.6Sufficient evidence | +4.0range +3.5 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| A.J. Hoggard | 62.7% | +1.4range +0.3 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.8 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Devin McGlockton | 62.2% | +5.9range +4.7 to +7.4Sufficient evidence | +4.9range +4.4 to +5.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaylen Carey | 50.1% | +2.1range +0.5 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.3 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tyler Tanner | 49.6% | +0.8range -0.7 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +1.9 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| MJ Collins | 48.3% | -2.3range -3.6 to -1.0Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.0 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chris Manon | 45.5% | +0.2range -1.5 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.6 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Grant Huffman | 40.9% | +0.7range -0.7 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +2.0range +1.6 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| JaQualon "JQ" Roberts | 7.7% | -0.5range -1.5 to +0.4Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jordan Williams | 2.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Coleson Messer | 1.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Miles Keeffe | 1.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Graham Calton | 1.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Hollman Smith | 0.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
31 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 2 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $13,322,320 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $13,322,320 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 30 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology