Algosys College Basketball

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UTEP

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for UTEP, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
David Terrell Jr.78.0%+0.9range +0.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence+4.2range +3.8 to +4.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Otis Frazier III74.3%+1.6range +0.4 to +2.7Sufficient evidence+4.3range +3.8 to +5.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Corey Camper Jr.73.5%+0.2range -0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidence+3.6range +3.1 to +4.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Devon Barnes64.6%+0.0range -1.3 to +1.4Sufficient evidence+3.1range +2.5 to +3.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kevin Kalu55.0%-0.8range -1.8 to +0.6Sufficient evidence+2.4range +1.9 to +3.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Ahamad Bynum45.9%-0.3range -1.6 to +1.4Sufficient evidence+2.2range +1.7 to +2.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Elijah Jones26.1%+1.7range +0.7 to +2.8Sufficient evidence+1.6range +1.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Trey Horton22.7%-1.8range -2.7 to -0.8Sufficient evidence+0.8range +0.7 to +1.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Derick Hamilton22.7%+0.9range -0.3 to +2.2Sufficient evidence+1.3range +1.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Baylor Hebb18.9%-1.9range -2.6 to -1.1Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
KJ Thomas17.1%+0.2range -0.9 to +1.2Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Babacar Mbengue0.8%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Antwonne Holmes0.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

26 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (87%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 4 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue$7,644,864Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$3,747,767Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day4
2 days8
3 or more days17

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent1
Longest run of consecutive away games3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology