UTEP
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Terrell Jr. | 78.0% | +0.9range +0.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +4.2range +3.8 to +4.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Otis Frazier III | 74.3% | +1.6range +0.4 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | +4.3range +3.8 to +5.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Corey Camper Jr. | 73.5% | +0.2range -0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +3.1 to +4.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Devon Barnes | 64.6% | +0.0range -1.3 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.5 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kevin Kalu | 55.0% | -0.8range -1.8 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +1.9 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ahamad Bynum | 45.9% | -0.3range -1.6 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.7 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Elijah Jones | 26.1% | +1.7range +0.7 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trey Horton | 22.7% | -1.8range -2.7 to -0.8Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.7 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Derick Hamilton | 22.7% | +0.9range -0.3 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Baylor Hebb | 18.9% | -1.9range -2.6 to -1.1Sufficient evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| KJ Thomas | 17.1% | +0.2range -0.9 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Babacar Mbengue | 0.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Antwonne Holmes | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
26 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (87%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 4 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $7,644,864 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $3,747,767 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 4 |
| 2 days | 8 |
| 3 or more days | 17 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology