UNC Wilmington
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Newby | 83.1% | +2.0range +1.1 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | +5.6range +4.9 to +6.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sean Moore | 60.0% | +0.8range -0.0 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +3.0 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nolan Hodge | 55.7% | -0.4range -1.4 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.1 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Noah Ross | 55.0% | +0.2range -0.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.4 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bo Montgomery | 52.7% | +2.5range +1.5 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +3.1 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Harlan Obioha | 50.8% | +1.7range +0.6 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.7 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Greedy Williams | 48.5% | +1.2range -0.3 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.4 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Khamari McGriff | 48.1% | +3.4range +2.2 to +4.4Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +3.1 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Josh Corbin | 39.3% | +0.0range -0.9 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.6 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Elijah Jamison | 6.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jake Murphy | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
23 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (70%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 10 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $3,053,344 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $3,053,344 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 2 days | 9 |
| 3 or more days | 20 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology