UAB
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg | 83.9% | +4.7range +3.9 to +5.6Sufficient evidence | +7.1range +6.4 to +7.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Christian Coleman | 70.5% | -0.2range -1.5 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.8 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Efrem Johnson | 66.4% | +1.1range +0.1 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +3.9range +3.4 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tony Toney | 64.6% | +0.1range -1.0 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.6 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 64.3% | +0.8range -0.3 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +3.0 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Alejandro Vasquez | 56.3% | -0.4range -1.6 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.1 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tyren Moore | 43.0% | +0.3range -1.0 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.8 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bradley Ezewiro | 38.6% | +1.2range -0.2 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +1.8 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Greg Gordon | 6.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Will Shaver | 3.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Makhi Myles | 1.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Marquis Hargrove | 1.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ryan Donohoo | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
27 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (82%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 6 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $5,349,479 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $5,003,621 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 2 days | 2 |
| 3 or more days | 27 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.3 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology