TN Martin
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarence Guinyard | 68.6% | +0.2range -0.9 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.7 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Vladimer Salaridze | 65.9% | +3.4range +2.2 to +4.7Sufficient evidence | +4.6range +4.1 to +5.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Afan Trnka | 61.8% | -3.2range -4.7 to -1.7Sufficient evidence | +1.7range +1.1 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Matija Žužic | 54.4% | -1.2range -2.6 to -0.0Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.7 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Carlos Cortijo | 53.0% | -0.2range -1.5 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +2.0 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Josué Grullon | 48.0% | -2.1range -3.2 to -0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.3 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Filip Radaković | 43.9% | -0.7range -2.1 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Andrija Bukumirović | 34.6% | -1.0range -2.2 to +0.0Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| AJ Hopkins | 28.4% | -0.3range -1.5 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Lamine Niang | 24.1% | -0.8range -2.1 to +0.3Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Stefano Faloppa | 16.8% | -2.3range -3.4 to -1.2Sufficient evidence | +0.6range +0.4 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Lucas Williams | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
28 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (93%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 2 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,540,438 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,539,012 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 9 |
| 3 or more days | 18 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 3 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 5 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology