Texas Tech
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Hawkins | 75.2% | +4.5range +3.4 to +5.9Sufficient evidence | +5.8range +5.1 to +6.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Christian Anderson | 70.9% | +2.5range +1.3 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | +4.4range +3.7 to +5.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Darrion Williams | 68.4% | +4.7range +3.3 to +5.9Sufficient evidence | +5.3range +4.7 to +6.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chance McMillian | 66.0% | +5.1range +3.6 to +6.2Sufficient evidence | +5.3range +4.5 to +6.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| JT Toppin | 63.8% | +3.9range +2.4 to +5.6Sufficient evidence | +4.6range +3.9 to +5.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kevin Overton | 50.9% | +1.8range +0.4 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.3 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kerwin Walton | 47.3% | +0.0range -1.2 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.7 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Federiko Federiko | 43.7% | +3.6range +2.3 to +5.1Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.6 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Devan Cambridge | 6.7% | +1.5range +0.5 to +2.6Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Eemeli Yalaho | 4.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Leon Horner | 1.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jack Francis | 1.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Corbin Green | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
34 of 37 games passed lineup acceptance (92%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 3 of 37 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $15,976,185 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $15,637,329 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 3 |
| 3 or more days | 31 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology