Tennessee Tech
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylon Johnson | 88.4% | +0.4range -0.8 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +4.3range +3.6 to +5.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kyle Layton | 79.4% | -2.0range -3.0 to -0.8Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.2 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Daniel Egbuniwe | 64.6% | -0.1range -1.0 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.6 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Rodney Johnson Jr. | 47.7% | +0.5range -0.8 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +2.0 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Matthew Sells | 46.7% | +0.7range -0.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +2.1 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ola Ajiboye | 40.3% | -0.1range -1.3 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.6 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| JaJuan Nicholls | 38.6% | -0.0range -1.0 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.5 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Grant Slatten | 37.2% | -1.2range -2.3 to +0.1Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ray Glasgow | 31.2% | +1.2range +0.0 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.5 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mekhi Cameron | 15.3% | -0.9range -1.9 to -0.1Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| David Craig | 5.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Grant Strong | 4.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bogdan Zimonjic | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
25 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (83%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 5 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,828,387 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,828,387 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched through an NCES IPEDS institution alias, with state and home-venue city agreeing.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 11 |
| 3 or more days | 17 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 11 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 5 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology