Tennessee St
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nkrumah | 74.0% | +1.5range +0.4 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | +4.4range +3.8 to +5.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Justus Jackson | 71.5% | -1.5range -2.6 to -0.6Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.2 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Carlous Williams | 64.1% | +0.9range -0.0 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +3.0 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brandon Weston | 57.3% | +0.2range -0.9 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.5 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Travis Harper II | 50.3% | +2.1range +0.7 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.7 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Knute Wood | 43.5% | +0.5range -0.8 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +1.9 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Josh Ogundele | 39.6% | +1.8range +0.6 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +2.1 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ronald Jessamy | 38.7% | +1.6range +0.5 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +2.0 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Antoine Lorick III | 22.1% | -2.5range -3.3 to -1.6Sufficient evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ahmir Langlais | 21.8% | -1.0range -1.8 to -0.2Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| JC Brooks | 6.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Maddux Bodenhamer | 6.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Louis Daoust | 3.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Blake Fleming | 0.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
27 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (90%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 3 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,633,260 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,633,260 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 10 |
| 3 or more days | 17 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 3 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology