Stetson
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mehki Ellison | 71.5% | -3.5range -4.9 to -1.9Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +0.7 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jordan Wood | 66.3% | -1.7range -2.8 to -0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.3 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Josh Massey | 62.7% | -1.5range -2.4 to -0.2Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.3 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jamie Phillips Jr. | 58.9% | -1.9range -3.2 to -0.5Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.1 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Abramo Canka | 53.8% | -1.8range -3.2 to -0.4Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.0 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tristan Gross | 48.3% | -2.6range -3.5 to -1.3Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Treyton Thompson | 36.3% | -0.5range -1.4 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.9 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Blaize Sagna | 33.6% | -2.2range -3.5 to -1.2Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.6 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Finley Sheridan | 26.8% | -0.3range -1.1 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.8 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Daniel Macgregor | 13.7% | -3.5range -4.3 to -2.7Limited evidence | +0.2range +0.2 to +0.3Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Alex Doyle | 13.4% | -2.0range -2.9 to -1.1Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Stefano Alesso | 10.1% | -3.9range -4.5 to -3.2Limited evidence | +0.2range +0.1 to +0.2Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Landen Babusiak | 4.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
22 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (73%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 8 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,225,101 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,225,101 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 8 |
| 3 or more days | 19 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.6 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology