St Peter's
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Randolph | 86.9% | +0.3range -0.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +3.9range +3.3 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Armoni Zeigler | 77.8% | +0.8range +0.2 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | +3.8range +3.4 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bryce Eaton | 69.6% | -0.0range -1.0 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.6 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mouhamed Sow | 65.8% | +0.6range -0.1 to +1.2Limited evidence | +3.2range +2.8 to +3.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Zaakir Williamson | 37.8% | -0.3range -1.2 to +0.8Limited evidence | +1.6range +1.4 to +2.0Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Stephon Roberts | 37.6% | +1.4range +0.6 to +1.9Limited evidence | +2.0range +1.8 to +2.3Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaquel Morris | 36.5% | +1.9range +1.4 to +2.3Limited evidence | +2.1range +1.9 to +2.3Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Elijah Perkins | 32.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Adetokunbo Bakare | 23.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jakai Sanders | 15.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Eric Morgan Jr. | 14.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brent Bland | 0.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
7 of 27 games passed lineup acceptance (26%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 20 of 27 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,229,898 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,229,898 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 9 |
| 3 or more days | 17 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.3 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 6 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology