St John's
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zuby Ejiofor | 81.9% | +4.8range +4.0 to +5.7Sufficient evidence | +6.8range +6.2 to +7.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kadary Richmond | 81.1% | +5.7range +4.5 to +6.7Sufficient evidence | +7.3range +6.5 to +8.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| RJ Luis Jr. | 78.8% | +3.1range +2.1 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | +5.5range +4.9 to +6.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Aaron Scott | 69.3% | +3.7range +3.0 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | +5.1range +4.5 to +5.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Deivon Smith | 63.2% | +2.1range +0.9 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | +3.8range +3.3 to +4.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Simeon Wilcher | 55.5% | +0.3range -0.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.2 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo | 25.0% | +1.6range +0.7 to +2.5Limited evidence | +1.3range +1.2 to +1.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Rubén Prey | 15.5% | +1.5range +0.7 to +2.3Limited evidence | +0.8range +0.7 to +0.9Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Vincent Iwuchukwu | 14.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos | 12.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brady Dunlap | 3.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
14 of 36 games passed lineup acceptance (39%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 22 of 36 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $31,994,396 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $31,994,396 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 2 days | 2 |
| 3 or more days | 30 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology