Algosys College Basketball

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St Bonaventure

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for St Bonaventure, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Melvin Council Jr.92.9%+2.6range +1.6 to +3.7Sufficient evidence+6.2range +5.6 to +7.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Lajae Jones83.5%+2.7range +1.7 to +3.6Sufficient evidence+5.7range +5.1 to +6.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Chance Moore79.9%+2.6range +1.6 to +3.8Sufficient evidence+5.4range +4.7 to +6.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Noel Brown77.4%+1.3range +0.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidence+4.6range +3.9 to +5.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jonah Hinton69.6%-0.6range -1.6 to +0.3Sufficient evidence+3.2range +2.5 to +3.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Noah Bolanga31.5%-1.9range -3.3 to -0.8Sufficient evidence+1.1range +0.8 to +1.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Dasonte Bowen22.7%+2.1range +0.9 to +3.0Sufficient evidence+1.5range +1.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Duane Thompson17.7%+0.3range -0.7 to +1.3Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.7 to +1.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Xander Wedlow13.1%-0.6range -1.5 to +0.3Limited evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Michael Folarin5.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Miles Rose3.9%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Jaxon Edwards2.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

32 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

No exclusions were recorded.

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue$5,859,386Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$5,859,386Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day2
3 or more days29

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.3
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent1
Longest run of consecutive away games2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology