Seattle
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maleek Arington | 74.9% | +0.9range -0.4 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +4.0range +3.2 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Matthew-Alexander Moncrieffe | 66.7% | +1.1range -0.2 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | +3.7range +3.0 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| John Christofilis | 64.7% | -0.4range -1.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.4 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Paris Dawson | 60.4% | +1.2range -0.1 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.8 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brayden Maldonado | 58.6% | +1.7range +0.4 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +3.0 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kobe Williamson | 38.8% | +0.9range -0.2 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.8 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Malek Gomma | 27.4% | +0.4range -0.6 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Houran Dan | 27.4% | +1.1range +0.1 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.3 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| DaSean Stevens | 25.6% | +1.3range +0.2 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Vasja Pandža | 22.8% | -1.6range -2.6 to -0.6Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Will Heimbrodt | 20.3% | +0.4range -0.6 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.9 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Viktor Rajković | 12.6% | -0.4range -1.2 to +0.3Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
28 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (93%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 2 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $3,375,756 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $3,375,756 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 7 |
| 3 or more days | 21 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.3 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 3 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology