San Diego St
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Byrd | 75.9% | +3.0range +2.0 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | +4.7range +4.1 to +5.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nick Boyd | 75.0% | +3.1range +2.0 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | +4.7range +4.1 to +5.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jared Coleman-Jones | 63.4% | +0.8range -0.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.6 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| BJ Davis | 63.1% | +2.3range +1.0 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +3.1 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Magoon Gwath | 50.9% | +3.0range +1.6 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.7 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Taj DeGourville | 45.2% | +0.2range -0.6 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +2.0range +1.7 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Wayne McKinney III | 43.1% | -0.9range -1.8 to -0.0Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.3 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Pharaoh Compton | 40.3% | +0.2range -0.3 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.6 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Miles Heide | 34.6% | +2.6range +1.6 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.8 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kimo Ferrari | 7.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cam Lawin | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ryan Schwarz | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Desai Lopez | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
14 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (47%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 16 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $15,269,898 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $9,110,688 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 28 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology