S Illinois
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Dibba | 85.1% | -0.3range -1.3 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +3.9range +3.2 to +4.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kennard Davis Jr. | 80.8% | -1.2range -2.3 to -0.0Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.6 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Drew Steffe | 67.4% | +0.4range -0.7 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.9 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jarrett Hensley | 64.6% | +1.0range -0.2 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +3.0 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Damien Mayo Jr. | 55.6% | +0.1range -1.6 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.1 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Davion Sykes | 40.4% | +0.5range -0.7 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.8 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Rolyns Aligbe | 31.2% | -0.4range -1.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sheridan Sharp | 30.7% | -0.1range -1.2 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Antwaun Massey | 16.6% | -1.7range -2.4 to -1.1Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jorge Moreno | 14.0% | +0.3range -0.6 to +1.2Limited evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.9Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Elijah Elliott | 13.5% | +1.4range +0.6 to +2.1Limited evidence | +0.8range +0.7 to +0.9Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
22 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (71%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 9 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $3,008,666 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $3,008,666 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 3 or more days | 28 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology