S Dakota St
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Sayler | 72.9% | -1.7range -3.0 to -0.6Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +1.8 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Oscar Cluff | 72.3% | +4.4range +3.2 to +5.6Sufficient evidence | +5.2range +4.6 to +5.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Owen Larson | 70.9% | +0.1range -0.9 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.6 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kalen Garry | 69.6% | +1.4range +0.4 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +3.7range +3.1 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Matthew Mors | 67.6% | +1.5range +0.5 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +3.0 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Stoney Hadnot | 41.0% | -1.0range -2.5 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.1 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaden Jackson | 39.9% | +1.0range +0.1 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | +2.0range +1.7 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Isaac Lindsey | 25.3% | -1.6range -2.3 to -0.6Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.7 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Damon Wilkinson | 16.7% | -1.1range -1.9 to -0.2Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| William Whorton | 13.0% | +0.6range +0.1 to +1.2Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nate Barnhart | 10.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
17 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (59%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 12 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,622,597 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,622,597 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 5 |
| 3 or more days | 21 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 2 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology