Algosys College Basketball

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Rice

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Rice, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Trae Broadnax73.6%+0.5range -0.5 to +1.6Sufficient evidence+3.9range +3.2 to +4.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Caden Powell61.0%+1.8range +0.7 to +3.0Sufficient evidence+3.8range +3.3 to +4.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Alem Huseinovic60.2%-0.3range -1.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidence+2.9range +2.2 to +3.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kellen Amos58.7%-0.0range -1.4 to +1.0Sufficient evidence+2.9range +2.3 to +3.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Denver Anglin53.3%-0.7range -1.9 to +0.6Sufficient evidence+2.4range +1.9 to +2.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jacob Dar49.9%-1.2range -2.2 to +0.0Sufficient evidence+2.1range +1.6 to +2.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Andrew Akuchie48.0%-0.6range -1.6 to +0.4Sufficient evidence+2.2range +1.8 to +2.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Emory Lanier42.7%-1.3range -2.6 to -0.1Sufficient evidence+1.7range +1.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jimmy Oladokun Jr.22.3%+0.0range -1.1 to +0.9Sufficient evidence+1.1range +1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Aaron Powell15.6%-1.4range -2.0 to -0.6Limited evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Trey Patterson12.7%-1.4range -1.9 to -1.0Limited evidence+0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jackson Peakes1.4%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
George Perkins0.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Cole Andrews-Heitz0.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

25 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (81%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 6 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue$5,021,145Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$5,021,145Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day2
3 or more days28

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.3
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent0
Longest run of consecutive away games2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology