Radford
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Moss | 72.9% | +2.6range +1.2 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | +4.7range +4.0 to +5.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brandon Maclin | 66.5% | +0.4range -1.1 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.6 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Josiah Harris | 57.8% | +1.3range +0.1 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.8 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Truth Harris | 57.2% | -2.3range -3.6 to -1.0Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.3 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Isaiah Gaines | 51.5% | +0.8range -0.3 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.3 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ibu Yamazaki | 51.2% | +0.5range -0.5 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.3 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| David Early | 38.4% | +0.6range -0.5 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +2.0range +1.7 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| TJ NeSmith | 33.3% | -0.5range -1.7 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Zion Walker | 22.3% | -0.9range -2.0 to +0.3Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.7 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chace Davis | 16.5% | +0.2range -0.6 to +1.2Limited evidence | +0.8range +0.7 to +1.0Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tony Felder | 13.6% | -1.9range -2.8 to -1.2Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jonas Sirtautas | 12.5% | -0.6range -1.5 to +0.2Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Xavier Foster | 5.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brennan Chatman | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
27 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (87%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 4 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,225,866 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,225,866 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 2 |
| 3 or more days | 26 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology