Providence
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre | 88.8% | +0.7range -0.4 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +4.4range +3.7 to +5.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bensley Joseph | 76.0% | +1.0range +0.0 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +3.9range +3.4 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Corey Floyd, Jr. | 67.1% | +1.3range +0.2 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +3.0 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse | 51.4% | +1.7range +0.5 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.6 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Wesley Cardet | 43.3% | -1.8range -2.8 to -0.8Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ryan Mela | 42.7% | +1.8range +0.8 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +2.2 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Rich Barron | 34.9% | -0.6range -1.7 to +0.3Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jabri Abdur-Rahim | 27.0% | +2.2range +1.0 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | +1.7range +1.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Christ Essandoko | 26.6% | +0.5range -0.2 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Justyn Fernandez | 16.8% | -0.6range -1.5 to +0.2Limited evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.9Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Eli DeLaurier | 10.9% | -1.8range -2.5 to -1.0Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bryce Hopkins | 9.8% | +3.8range +2.4 to +4.9Limited evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Anton Bonke | 4.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Luke Fonts | 0.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kieran O'Haire | 0.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
23 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (72%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 9 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $12,518,606 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $12,518,606 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 3 or more days | 29 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology