Portland St
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qiant Myers | 84.1% | +1.6range +0.5 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | +4.9range +4.2 to +5.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaylin Henderson | 81.9% | -0.6range -1.9 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +2.9 to +4.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Isaiah Johnson | 78.3% | +0.1range -0.9 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +3.8range +3.3 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tre-Vaughn Minott | 59.3% | +3.0range +1.9 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | +4.0range +3.6 to +4.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Terri Miller Jr. | 55.5% | +2.4range +1.2 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +3.1 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cole Farrell | 43.2% | -0.9range -2.1 to +0.3Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Shane Nowell | 35.4% | -0.1range -1.2 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | +1.7range +1.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Hayden Curtiss | 23.9% | +0.5range -0.2 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +1.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kelcy Phipps | 19.1% | +0.2range -0.9 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ismail Habib | 12.8% | -2.2range -3.1 to -1.4Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Isaac Brice | 6.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
25 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (86%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 4 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,172,702 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,172,702 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 9 |
| 3 or more days | 17 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology