Portland
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Rapp | 81.0% | -1.6range -2.4 to -0.6Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.9 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Max Mackinnon | 71.3% | +0.2range -0.9 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.2 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chris Austin | 65.5% | -2.3range -4.1 to -0.9Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.1 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Vincent Delano | 59.3% | -2.6range -3.5 to -1.6Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.1 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bol Dengdit | 54.7% | -1.6range -2.6 to -0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Vukasin Masic | 53.7% | -0.1range -1.3 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mikah Ballew | 40.8% | -2.2range -2.8 to -1.4Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.9 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb | 25.5% | -0.2range -1.0 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Todd Jones Jr. | 19.6% | -1.2range -2.4 to +0.1Sufficient evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kelson Gebbers | 16.4% | -0.6range -1.3 to +0.2Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mezziah Oakman | 7.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Coleman Lemke | 3.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jinup Dobuol | 1.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jude Harris | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
22 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (73%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 8 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $3,575,365 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $3,575,365 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 8 |
| 3 or more days | 20 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 2 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology