Algosys College Basketball

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Pacific

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Pacific, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Lamar Washington85.8%-2.6range -3.9 to -1.4Sufficient evidence+1.9range +1.3 to +2.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Elijah Fisher84.6%-4.1range -5.1 to -2.9Sufficient evidence+1.2range +0.7 to +1.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Elias Ralph79.3%-0.8range -1.9 to +0.1Sufficient evidence+2.3range +1.9 to +2.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Petar Krivokapic71.2%-1.9range -3.0 to -0.9Sufficient evidence+1.8range +1.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jefferson Koulibaly64.2%-2.2range -3.2 to -0.9Sufficient evidence+1.5range +1.2 to +2.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jazz Gardner40.1%-1.8range -2.6 to -0.8Sufficient evidence+1.1range +0.9 to +1.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Burke Smith17.5%-1.4range -2.1 to -0.8Limited evidence+0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Seth Jones17.5%+1.2range +0.2 to +2.5Limited evidence+0.7range +0.6 to +0.9Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Carter Benton15.1%-0.8range -1.5 to -0.0Limited evidence+0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kris Keinys14.4%+1.0range +0.1 to +1.9Limited evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Solomon Ominu7.7%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Amare Campbell2.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Andrew McKenna0.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

23 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (74%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 8 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue$4,203,536Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$4,203,536Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
2 days9
3 or more days21

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.6
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent3
Longest run of consecutive away games3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology