Oregon St
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rataj | 81.0% | +2.7range +1.5 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | +4.4range +3.8 to +5.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Damarco Minor | 79.6% | +1.6range +0.3 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +3.8range +3.2 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nate Kingz | 67.9% | +3.8range +1.9 to +5.4Sufficient evidence | +4.1range +3.4 to +4.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Liutauras Lelevicius | 65.9% | +1.6range +0.3 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.6 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Parsa Fallah | 62.4% | +1.5range +0.4 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.5 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Josiah Lake II | 57.0% | +2.9range +1.4 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.6 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Isaiah Sy | 43.1% | -0.9range -2.0 to +0.2Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.1 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Matthew Marsh | 18.1% | -1.7range -2.4 to -1.0Sufficient evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Maxim Logue | 8.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Johan Munch | 6.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| DaJohn Craig | 3.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ja'Quavis Williford | 2.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Thomas Ndong | 2.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Gavin Marrs | 1.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Grey Garrison | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
26 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (84%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 5 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $9,165,896 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $6,899,222 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 8 |
| 3 or more days | 21 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology