Oregon
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Shelstad | 81.8% | +2.7range +1.7 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | +6.0range +5.3 to +6.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| TJ Bamba | 70.1% | +2.9range +1.3 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | +5.3range +4.4 to +6.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nate Bittle | 69.1% | +5.3range +4.1 to +6.7Sufficient evidence | +6.4range +5.8 to +7.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Keeshawn Barthelemy | 67.8% | +2.0range +0.8 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | +4.7range +4.0 to +5.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brandon Angel | 57.1% | +0.1range -1.3 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.4 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jadrian Tracey | 53.0% | +3.1range +1.9 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | +4.1range +3.5 to +4.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kwame Evans Jr. | 39.8% | +4.0range +2.6 to +5.7Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.9 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Supreme Cook | 24.8% | -0.7range -2.2 to +0.5Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ra'Heim Moss | 21.6% | +0.1range -1.0 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mookie Cook | 7.1% | +0.6range -0.2 to +1.2Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jamari Phillips | 5.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jayson Williams-Johnson | 0.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| James Cooper | 0.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Oleksandr Kobzystyi | 0.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Drew Carter | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Luke Johnson | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
35 of 35 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
No exclusions were recorded.
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $11,644,706 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $14,072,866 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 31 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.3 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology