Old Dominion
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Davis Jr. | 86.2% | -0.6range -1.7 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +3.1 to +4.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaden Johnson | 83.3% | -1.2range -2.2 to -0.0Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.6 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sean Durugordon | 81.2% | +0.2range -0.8 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | +3.8range +3.2 to +4.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| R.J. Blakney | 54.5% | -1.3range -2.8 to -0.1Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.6 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Caelum Swanton-Rodger | 52.2% | -1.9range -3.2 to -0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.4 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Stephaun Walker | 41.8% | -1.8range -2.9 to -0.9Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Caden Diggs | 26.7% | -1.9range -3.1 to -0.9Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.7 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Devin Ceaser | 19.5% | -2.3range -3.4 to -1.2Sufficient evidence | +0.7range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dani Pounds | 18.3% | -0.6range -2.0 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Scottie Hubbard | 12.1% | +0.3range -0.5 to +1.1Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Donovan Raymond | 9.6% | +1.0range +0.1 to +1.9Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Vytautas Zygas | 9.0% | -3.1range -4.4 to -1.9Limited evidence | +0.2range +0.2 to +0.3Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ben Nacey | 3.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Rieco Hellams | 0.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cooper Jones | 0.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaylen Jenkins | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| CJ Parker | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Imo Essien | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
28 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (85%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 5 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $4,218,097 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $4,218,097 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 5 |
| 2 days | 5 |
| 3 or more days | 22 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.6 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 3 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology