Algosys College Basketball

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Oklahoma

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Oklahoma, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Jalon Moore78.1%+0.3range -0.7 to +1.3Sufficient evidence+3.6range +3.0 to +4.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jeremiah Fears73.6%+1.4range +0.2 to +2.5Sufficient evidence+3.8range +3.2 to +4.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Duke Miles61.7%+1.1range -0.3 to +2.2Sufficient evidence+3.1range +2.5 to +3.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kobe Elvis58.1%+3.0range +1.7 to +4.3Sufficient evidence+3.6range +3.1 to +4.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Brycen Goodine54.8%+1.2range -0.0 to +2.2Sufficient evidence+2.8range +2.4 to +3.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Glenn Taylor Jr.44.8%+1.0range -0.2 to +2.2Sufficient evidence+2.2range +1.9 to +2.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Sam Godwin41.9%+0.4range -0.7 to +1.7Sufficient evidence+2.0range +1.7 to +2.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Mohamed Wague28.8%+3.4range +2.4 to +4.4Sufficient evidence+1.9range +1.7 to +2.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Dayton Forsythe27.8%+1.8range +0.7 to +2.9Sufficient evidence+1.6range +1.4 to +1.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Luke Northweather24.9%+1.1range +0.1 to +2.0Sufficient evidence+1.3range +1.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jacolb Fredson-Cole4.9%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Jake Moser0.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Reid Lovelace0.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

29 of 34 games passed lineup acceptance (85%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 5 of 34 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue$9,769,244Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$14,250,771Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day3
3 or more days30

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent1
Longest run of consecutive away games2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology