Algosys College Basketball

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Northern Iowa

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Northern Iowa, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Tytan Anderson77.3%+3.1range +2.0 to +4.3Sufficient evidence+5.6range +4.9 to +6.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Trey Campbell77.2%+3.2range +2.1 to +4.5Sufficient evidence+5.7range +4.9 to +6.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Ben Schwieger74.2%+0.5range -1.0 to +1.8Sufficient evidence+4.0range +3.2 to +4.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jacob Hutson61.8%+1.3range -0.4 to +2.8Sufficient evidence+3.7range +2.9 to +4.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Max Weisbrod59.3%-0.3range -1.3 to +0.6Sufficient evidence+2.8range +2.4 to +3.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Leon Bond III48.5%+0.4range -0.6 to +1.5Sufficient evidence+2.6range +2.1 to +3.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Will Hornseth32.8%+0.8range -0.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidence+1.8range +1.5 to +2.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kyle Pock22.3%-1.7range -2.4 to -1.0Sufficient evidence+0.8range +0.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Cael Schmitt18.2%-0.1range -0.9 to +0.9Limited evidence+0.9range +0.7 to +1.0Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
RJ Taylor16.0%-0.3range -1.3 to +0.7Limited evidence+0.7range +0.6 to +0.9Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Redek Born10.3%-1.1range -1.9 to -0.3Limited evidence+0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Charlie Miller0.9%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Wes Rubin0.7%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Hunter Jacobson0.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Chase Courbat0.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

24 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (77%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 7 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue$3,354,932Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$3,354,932Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day1
2 days1
3 or more days28

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent1
Longest run of consecutive away games2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology