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NJIT

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for NJIT, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Sebastian Robinson79.4%-3.0range -4.0 to -1.7Sufficient evidence+1.6range +1.2 to +2.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Tariq Francis76.6%-1.5range -2.5 to -0.3Sufficient evidence+2.1range +1.7 to +2.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Tim Moore68.1%-0.7range -1.7 to +0.7Sufficient evidence+2.1range +1.8 to +2.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Ari Fulton68.1%-1.2range -2.4 to +0.4Sufficient evidence+2.0range +1.6 to +2.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jordan Rogers59.1%-0.7range -1.8 to +0.5Sufficient evidence+1.9range +1.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Levi Lawal30.9%-2.1range -3.2 to -0.6Sufficient evidence+0.8range +0.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Cameron Piggee21.6%-0.8range -1.8 to +0.4Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Triston Wennersten18.6%-1.5range -2.3 to -0.7Sufficient evidence+0.6range +0.4 to +0.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
John Kelly18.3%-1.6range -2.5 to -0.8Sufficient evidence+0.5range +0.4 to +0.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Malachi Arrington16.4%-1.0range -1.6 to -0.2Limited evidence+0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Walt Andrews Jr.15.1%-2.0range -2.9 to -1.0Limited evidence+0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jake Goldberg13.3%-1.1range -1.6 to -0.3Limited evidence+0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Quentin Duncan10.3%-0.8range -1.7 to +0.0Limited evidence+0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Stefan Jimenez-Vojnic4.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

26 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (87%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 4 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue$2,599,758Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$2,562,747Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched through an NCES IPEDS institution alias, with state and home-venue city agreeing.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day1
2 days8
3 or more days20

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.6
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent2
Longest run of consecutive away games4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology