NC A&T
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahnathan Lamothe | 90.4% | -1.7range -2.5 to -0.6Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.1 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Camian Shell | 83.4% | -1.7range -2.5 to -1.0Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +2.0 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Landon Glasper | 63.0% | -1.5range -2.7 to -0.2Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.5 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nikolaos Chitikoudis | 62.2% | +0.0range -0.8 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +2.0 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ryan Forrest | 58.9% | -1.8range -2.6 to -0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.7range +1.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Efstratios Kalliontzis | 43.3% | -2.1range -2.9 to -0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +1.0 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jalal McKie | 41.7% | -3.6range -4.8 to -2.4Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.5 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bryson Ogletree | 40.8% | +0.1range -0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jason Murphy | 7.9% | +0.5range -0.1 to +1.1Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Will Felton | 7.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jordan Martin | 1.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Julius Reese | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chanler Montgomery | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
27 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (87%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 4 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,919,954 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,919,954 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched by a manual override chosen by the model author. Its checks (IPEDS identity, state, home-venue city) confirm only that the pick is self-consistent. They are not independent proof that this school is the same program. If the match were wrong, these figures would belong to a different school.manual EADA match, not independently verified
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 7 |
| 3 or more days | 23 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 2 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology