Algosys College Basketball

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Navy

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Navy, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Austin Benigni86.2%+0.3range -0.6 to +1.3Sufficient evidence+5.0range +4.3 to +5.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Aidan Kehoe74.7%+1.9range +0.5 to +3.2Sufficient evidence+5.3range +4.5 to +6.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Donovan Draper74.1%+0.9range -0.1 to +2.3Sufficient evidence+4.7range +4.0 to +5.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jordan Pennick69.7%-0.4range -1.7 to +0.6Sufficient evidence+3.7range +3.0 to +4.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jinwoo Kim68.5%+0.4range -0.8 to +1.8Sufficient evidence+4.1range +3.5 to +5.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Mike Woods34.3%-0.5range -1.6 to +0.6Sufficient evidence+1.8range +1.5 to +2.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Lysander Rehnstrom32.4%+0.7range -0.3 to +1.6Sufficient evidence+2.0range +1.8 to +2.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Carnegie Johnson18.8%-1.3range -2.2 to -0.2Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.7 to +1.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Cam Cole18.0%-2.8range -3.9 to -1.7Sufficient evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Mitch Fischer11.1%-2.7range -3.4 to -2.1Limited evidence+0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jack Medalie5.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Sam Krist4.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
David Burnett1.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Cooper Jackson0.6%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Julian Gabbidon0.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Nyles Howard0.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Owen Gray0.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Cam Cormany0.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

30 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (91%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 3 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

No program revenue was published for this team.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day2
2 days1
3 or more days29

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent1
Longest run of consecutive away games4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology