Monmouth NJ
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Collins | 89.1% | -0.2range -1.3 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +4.2range +3.5 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. | 82.1% | -2.1range -3.2 to -0.8Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.2 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Madison Durr | 80.0% | +1.2range -0.1 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +4.5range +3.8 to +5.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cornelius Robinson Jr. | 57.3% | -0.3range -1.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.2 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaret Valencia | 47.9% | -1.1range -2.2 to +0.2Sufficient evidence | +2.0range +1.6 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dok Muordar | 36.7% | +1.6range +0.5 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +2.0 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Andrew Ball | 25.9% | +0.8range -0.3 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chris Morgan | 20.6% | +0.4range -1.0 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.9 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Justin Ray | 19.9% | -0.5range -1.6 to +0.5Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Aric Demings | 18.3% | -2.6range -3.5 to -1.8Sufficient evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jordan Meka | 14.7% | -1.2range -1.9 to -0.5Sufficient evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Lucas Orchard | 1.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Corey Miller | 1.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sam Fagan | 1.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Quinn Peters | 1.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jack Leahy | 1.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Christopher Green | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
30 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (91%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 3 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $3,796,957 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $3,796,957 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 2 days | 8 |
| 3 or more days | 21 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.6 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology