Mississippi St
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 86.6% | +2.7range +1.5 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | +5.9range +5.2 to +6.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cameron Matthews | 78.8% | +4.7range +3.4 to +5.9Sufficient evidence | +6.4range +5.7 to +7.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| KeShawn Murphy | 59.0% | +0.6range -0.5 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.7 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| RJ Melendez | 56.7% | +0.8range -0.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.7 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Riley Kugel | 56.3% | +2.1range +0.9 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | +3.7range +3.1 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Claudell Harris Jr. | 54.9% | +0.6range -0.9 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.5 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 48.2% | -0.5range -2.1 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.6 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Michael Nwoko | 39.6% | +1.4range +0.4 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +2.1 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kanye Clary | 9.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dellquan Warren | 8.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Gai Chol | 1.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jeremy Foumena | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Harrison Alexander | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
21 of 34 games passed lineup acceptance (62%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 13 of 34 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $12,220,601 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $12,220,601 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 3 or more days | 31 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology