MD E Shore
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketron Shaw | 83.7% | -3.6range -4.5 to -2.3Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.6 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Evan Johnson | 66.0% | -2.0range -3.0 to -0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.8 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Christopher Flippin | 65.7% | -2.9range -4.6 to -1.5Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.6 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cardell Bailey | 52.7% | -1.9range -3.5 to -0.5Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kyrell Shaw | 42.5% | -2.7range -4.1 to -1.1Sufficient evidence | +0.6range +0.4 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Hassan Perkins | 41.5% | -0.9range -2.0 to +0.2Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jalen Ware | 38.5% | -3.5range -4.5 to -2.4Sufficient evidence | +0.5range +0.3 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jose Cuello | 32.3% | -2.8range -3.6 to -1.5Sufficient evidence | +0.5range +0.3 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Maurice Vassel | 30.1% | -2.2range -3.3 to -0.8Sufficient evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ralph Martino Jr. | 26.2% | -2.9range -4.0 to -1.5Sufficient evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trey Hall | 18.0% | -2.9range -3.6 to -2.1Sufficient evidence | +0.3range +0.2 to +0.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Lawrence Foreman | 2.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaiden Lee | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
25 of 27 games passed lineup acceptance (93%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 2 of 27 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,147,044 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,245,634 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 7 |
| 3 or more days | 19 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.3 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 10 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology