McNeese St
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javohn Garcia | 74.2% | +3.1range +1.9 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | +4.5range +3.9 to +5.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Christian Shumate | 70.7% | +2.1range +1.0 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | +3.8range +3.3 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Joe Charles | 70.7% | +3.8range +2.5 to +5.2Sufficient evidence | +4.6range +3.9 to +5.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| DJ Richards | 55.5% | +2.0range +0.8 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.4 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brandon Murray | 55.2% | +2.4range +1.3 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.6 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Quadir Copeland | 53.8% | +0.9range -0.5 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +1.9 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sincere Parker | 46.0% | +1.6range +0.7 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.9 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bryant Selebangue | 35.3% | +2.3range +0.9 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.6 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| T'Johnn Brown | 20.9% | -0.7range -1.6 to +0.3Sufficient evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Omar Cooper | 10.4% | -0.8range -1.1 to -0.5Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Alyn Breed | 5.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Lamont Evans IV | 0.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Erik Villarreal | 0.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
27 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (82%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 6 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $3,169,273 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $3,169,273 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 12 |
| 3 or more days | 18 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology