Maryland
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie | 79.1% | +5.6range +4.3 to +6.8Sufficient evidence | +6.7range +5.8 to +7.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Rodney Rice | 78.2% | +4.3range +2.7 to +5.8Sufficient evidence | +5.9range +5.0 to +6.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Derik Queen | 75.3% | +5.1range +3.7 to +6.2Sufficient evidence | +6.0range +5.2 to +6.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Selton Miguel | 72.1% | +2.4range +1.0 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | +4.4range +3.7 to +5.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Julian Reese | 72.1% | +5.7range +4.4 to +6.9Sufficient evidence | +6.1range +5.4 to +6.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| DeShawn Harris-Smith | 37.4% | +0.7range -1.0 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | +1.7range +1.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jayhlon Young | 24.1% | +1.7range +0.4 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.0 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tafara Gapare | 22.3% | +1.3range -0.1 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.9 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jordan Geronimo | 19.5% | +1.0range -0.1 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Malachi Palmer | 12.6% | +1.5range -0.1 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chance Stephens | 2.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Braden Pierce | 2.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ben Murphy | 1.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Lukas Sotell | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
34 of 36 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 2 of 36 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $16,464,647 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $12,972,857 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 33 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology