Manhattan
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Winston | 81.5% | -0.4range -1.7 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +3.8range +3.0 to +4.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Shaquil Bender | 77.9% | -0.9range -1.9 to +0.1Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.8 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Wesley Robinson | 75.9% | +1.2range +0.2 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | +4.4range +3.9 to +5.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Devin Dinkins | 75.0% | +1.6range +0.1 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | +4.5range +3.7 to +5.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Masiah Gilyard | 74.5% | +0.4range -0.8 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +3.9range +3.2 to +4.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Will Sydnor | 71.7% | -0.6range -1.5 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.7 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Fraser Roxburgh | 28.7% | +2.2range +1.2 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.6 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Alijah Curry | 7.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Marko Ljubicic | 4.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| John Berbano | 0.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Michael Lawlor | 0.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Daniel Hackett | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Amaan Sandhu | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Aryan Arora | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Allen Myers | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jackson Delaney | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
23 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (79%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 6 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,453,965 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,412,158 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 10 |
| 3 or more days | 18 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.3 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 4 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology