MA Lowell
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinton Mincey | 92.6% | -0.6range -1.7 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +3.9range +3.2 to +4.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Martin Somerville | 80.6% | +0.7range -0.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +4.1range +3.5 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Max Brooks | 78.7% | +2.6range +1.4 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | +4.9range +4.3 to +5.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Yuri Covington | 73.4% | +0.1range -1.3 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.8 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cam Morris III | 57.8% | -0.6range -1.4 to +0.5Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +2.0 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Anthony Blunt | 46.5% | +0.4range -0.8 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +1.9 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Quincy Clark | 34.0% | -0.7range -1.7 to +0.1Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Xzavier Lino | 28.4% | -1.1range -2.0 to -0.2Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.9 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Caleb Murphy | 4.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mekhi Gray | 3.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ephraim Acquah | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Armani Perkins | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Keenan Bey | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
25 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (86%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 4 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,343,038 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,343,038 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 9 |
| 3 or more days | 19 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 3 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology