LSU
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Carter | 83.1% | +1.5range +0.0 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +3.1 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dji Bailey | 78.9% | +1.5range -0.0 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +2.8 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jordan Sears | 64.9% | +1.3range +0.1 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.4 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Daimion Collins | 48.0% | +0.2range -0.9 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.5 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Curtis Givens III | 43.6% | -1.8range -2.8 to -0.8Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.0 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Corey Chest | 42.3% | +1.3range +0.3 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.7 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Robert Miller III | 37.1% | -0.0range -1.4 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Vyctorius Miller | 35.2% | +0.5range -0.6 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Derek Fountain | 27.5% | +0.4range -0.9 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.9 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mike Williams III | 19.3% | -1.3range -2.2 to -0.1Sufficient evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jalen Reed | 15.3% | +2.6range +1.6 to +3.4Limited evidence | +0.8range +0.7 to +0.9Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trey'Dez Green | 3.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Noah Boyde | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Adam Benhayoune | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trace Young | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
27 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (84%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 5 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $13,624,943 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $11,104,405 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched through an NCES IPEDS institution alias, with state and home-venue city agreeing.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 30 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology