Loyola MD
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Theodosiou | 81.8% | -0.2range -1.2 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +3.8range +3.3 to +4.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Braeden Speed | 80.7% | -0.4range -1.4 to +0.5Sufficient evidence | +3.7range +3.1 to +4.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jordan Stiemke | 74.3% | +0.1range -1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +3.7range +3.1 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Milos Ilic | 71.1% | +1.9range +0.9 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | +4.4range +3.8 to +5.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tyson Commander | 68.9% | +0.2range -0.8 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +3.0 to +4.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| David Brown III | 50.4% | -1.4range -2.1 to -0.6Sufficient evidence | +2.0range +1.7 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Veljko Ilic | 42.7% | +0.8range -0.0 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +2.1 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chris Kuzemka | 10.6% | -0.2range -0.6 to +0.2Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Samuel Gibbs | 8.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Troy Cicero Jr. | 5.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Garrett Brennan | 3.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Goap Kodi | 1.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Peter Sposito | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Greg Guidinger | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
21 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (70%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 9 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,130,645 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,130,645 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 2 |
| 3 or more days | 27 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology