Louisiana Tech
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Newman Jr. | 80.4% | +1.5range +0.4 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | +4.9range +4.3 to +5.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Amaree Abram | 79.9% | +1.0range -0.3 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +4.6range +3.7 to +5.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Daniel Batcho | 69.0% | +2.2range +1.0 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | +4.6range +4.0 to +5.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kaden Cooper | 68.3% | +0.3range -0.5 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +3.1 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Al Green | 59.1% | +0.9range -0.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.6 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| AJ Bates | 41.4% | +1.1range +0.2 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +2.0 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Devin Ree | 34.0% | -1.6range -2.3 to -0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jordan Crawford | 22.8% | -0.6range -1.8 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sean Elkinton | 20.0% | +0.9range -0.1 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Will Allen | 15.2% | +0.1range -0.8 to +0.9Limited evidence | +0.8range +0.7 to +0.9Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| William Jeffress | 5.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Landren Blocker | 4.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ben Ponder | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
26 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (90%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 3 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,572,343 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,572,343 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 8 |
| 3 or more days | 18 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology