Liberty
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Porter | 83.5% | +3.5range +2.5 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | +6.2range +5.5 to +7.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kaden Metheny | 83.4% | +2.5range +1.3 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | +5.6range +4.8 to +6.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Zach Cleveland | 81.7% | +2.9range +1.3 to +4.4Sufficient evidence | +5.7range +4.7 to +6.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jayvon Maughmer | 74.8% | +1.6range +0.1 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | +4.4range +3.7 to +5.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Owen Aquino | 64.2% | +0.9range -0.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +2.9 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Taelon Peter | 57.9% | +3.6range +2.2 to +4.7Sufficient evidence | +4.2range +3.7 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Zander Yates | 16.5% | +1.2range +0.1 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Gabriel McKay | 13.6% | -2.9range -4.2 to -1.8Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.2 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Isaiah Ihnen | 11.8% | +2.2range +1.1 to +3.3Limited evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brett Decker Jr. | 7.4% | -0.7range -1.5 to +0.0Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Curtis Blair III | 2.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bryson Spell | 1.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Will Gibson | 0.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kai Yu | 0.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| JC Shirer Jr. | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
31 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (97%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 1 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $5,566,763 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $5,566,763 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 2 days | 9 |
| 3 or more days | 19 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology