Lamar
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Marmolejos | 77.1% | -0.6range -1.4 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.7 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ja'Sean Jackson | 70.7% | +0.8range -0.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | +3.7range +3.0 to +4.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Andrew Holifield | 70.4% | +1.8range +0.6 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | +4.1range +3.5 to +4.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cody Pennebaker | 66.5% | -1.5range -3.0 to -0.2Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +1.8 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Adam Hamilton | 66.4% | +1.9range +0.9 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +3.9range +3.4 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Errol White | 56.4% | -0.4range -1.4 to +0.5Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +2.0 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Danquez Dawsey | 43.4% | +0.3range -0.7 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.8 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Janko Bulajic | 17.2% | +0.5range -0.3 to +1.4Limited evidence | +0.9range +0.7 to +1.0Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jayden Barrs | 15.6% | -0.1range -0.8 to +0.5Limited evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Terrance Dixon Jr. | 15.3% | -1.5range -2.1 to -0.8Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Braden East | 0.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
17 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (57%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 13 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,934,655 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,896,927 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 2 days | 10 |
| 3 or more days | 16 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 5 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology